Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 1.396068 1.592715 1.807040 2.057974 2.343746 2.659106 3.033607
2025-01-26 1.146055 1.426883 1.760254 2.185204 2.712718 3.346408 4.166202
2025-02-02 1.014981 1.342332 1.754542 2.311788 3.045967 3.981151 5.264726
2025-02-09 0.912032 1.267400 1.737059 2.403316 3.325045 4.556909 6.331775
2025-02-16 0.816453 1.184406 1.691539 2.441700 3.524442 5.033105 7.300347
2025-02-23 0.715966 1.079411 1.599516 2.398264 3.595758 5.327810 8.030955
2025-03-02 0.640350 0.999992 1.532637 2.379168 3.693120 5.659589 8.836383
2025-03-09 0.584194 0.942510 1.490330 2.389056 3.829567 6.054627 9.765932
2025-03-16 0.536089 0.891686 1.451768 2.398320 3.961812 6.449294 10.724360
2025-03-23 0.497093 0.850961 1.424179 2.420474 4.113488 6.883201 11.779654
2025-03-30 0.448995 0.789908 1.357043 2.369355 4.136547 7.105144 12.495801
2025-04-06 0.406084 0.733274 1.291582 2.313764 4.144624 7.298789 13.174806
2025-04-13 0.364184 0.675057 1.219233 2.241290 4.119792 7.439147 13.783903
2025-04-20 0.358738 0.682134 1.262471 2.379870 4.485884 8.300283 15.776114
2025-04-27 0.353100 0.688071 1.303705 2.517726 4.861808 9.209346 17.937633
2025-05-04 0.342399 0.683182 1.324085 2.617407 5.173492 10.023988 19.990790
2025-05-11 0.325224 0.663920 1.315240 2.659209 5.375939 10.646643 21.722846
2025-05-18 0.299266 0.624616 1.263920 2.611905 5.396930 10.917263 22.773339
2025-05-25 0.278675 0.594280 1.227552 2.591108 5.468645 11.292259 24.066672
2025-06-01 0.263170 0.573042 1.207562 2.601876 5.605440 11.808013 25.695357
2025-06-08 0.248857 0.552994 1.188206 2.611965 5.740981 12.330852 27.382768
2025-06-15 0.236930 0.537023 1.175987 2.636092 5.908250 12.932895 29.293237
2025-06-22 0.219088 0.506282 1.129401 2.580420 5.894815 13.144518 30.353085